Cars
Lease vs buy a car: the 3-year and 10-year cost
Tyler is at the dealership looking at a $38,000 car, and the salesperson slides two numbers across the desk. Leasing is about $250 a month less than buying, and over the length of the lease, leasing usually is cheaper. Stretch the timeline to ten years and it reverses, with buying ahead by tens of thousands of dollars.
What a lease payment covers
When you lease, you pay for the part of the car you use up over the term, plus fees, which is why the monthly payment is lower. At the end you own nothing. When you buy, the payment is higher because you’re paying for the whole car, and at the end you own something with resale value. So the useful comparison is the cost per year of driving once you count what you own at the end.
A worked example
Here are Tyler’s two options: the $38,000 car leased at $450 a month plus fees, or bought with $4,000 down on a 7% loan over 60 months:
- Over the 3-year lease term: lease net cost $32,115 (own $0) vs buy net cost $32,875, roughly a wash, lease about $253/mo lighter on cash flow
- Over 10 years: leasing (4 leases) $109,180, still owning nothing
- Over 10 years: buying and keeping ~$73,797 net after resale, buying wins by more than $30,000
Over one lease, leasing is cheaper and easier on Tyler’s monthly budget. But leasing means a car payment for as long as he drives. Buy the car and keep it past the loan, and the monthly cost drops sharply while he drives something he owns outright.
Compare with your own numbers →Free Lease vs Buy calculator, no sign-up. See the short-term and the 10-year cost side by side.Where this estimate can be off
Leasing suits some people. If you want a new car every few years, drive predictable low mileage, or can write the lease off through a business, the math changes. Watch the mileage limit the calculator asks for, because driving 13,000 miles on a 12,000 limit costs extra. Buying only wins over the long run if you keep the car past the loan. If you trade in every three years anyway, you’re effectively leasing with more paperwork. If Tyler keeps cars a long time, he should buy.
Figures from TheSharpDollar’s Lease vs Buy calculator using its sample scenario. Your result depends on your lease terms, price and how long you keep the car.